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Here is a pdf of the invited poster I gave at the Fall AGU meeting in San Francisco, last December (2.9 MB), titled, “Propagation of Error and the Reliability of Global Air Temperature Projections.”
Propagation of error, a standard of the physical sciences, is apparently foreign to climate modeling. It doesn’t exist in the published literature.
Growth of uncertainty from propagation of systematic error shows that when it comes to a purported GHG cause behind recent climate warming, no one knows what they’re talking about.
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